Stochastics Numerics Seminar

Utrecht University Stochastics and Numerics Seminar


Wednesday 9th May, 11.15 am, BBL 065

Cristian Spitoni (Utrecht)

Title: Inference for transition probabilities for semi-Markov multi state models.

Abstract: In this talk we discuss the estimation of the transition probabilities for semi-Markov multi-state models. The basic definitions and results about semi-Markov processes will be briefly reviewed. We propose non-parametric and semi-parametric estimators of the transition probabilities for a large class of models (forward going models). Large sample theory will be derived using the functional delta method. Finally, we try to explain the main ideas and problems for the implementation in R of the proposed estimators.

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